Match Info

Proliga - Round 7

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Alianca Sangalhos

	1	2
	1.18	4
	1.13	4.09
	1.10	5.69	Watch
	1.23	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.35)	4.38 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
79.1%

Alianca Sangalhos
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maia's performance.

Alianca Sangalhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianca Sangalhos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianca Sangalhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maia - Alianca Sangalhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caetano F.	5. Cotton R.
13. Guerreiro J.	30. Komara L.
9. Heinz W.	8. Madureira G. (C)
72. Lisboa T.	34. Manhanga D.
10. Tomley M.	13. Sassinda I.
Substitutes
35. Carvalho A.	15. Gomes R.
20. Ferreira R.	0. Lemos S.
28. Figueiredo T.	3. McLoyd J.
4. Magalhaes M. (C)	18. Patcha J.
54. Oliveira R.	4. Rodrigues D.
17. Skoric G.	00. Santiago F.
5. Valgode A.	2. Silva E.
Coaches
. Rodrigues N.	. Gradeco F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maia won 2.

Recent performances by Maia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sangalhos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sangalhos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maia is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 439:454. (average 73.2:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Maia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 213:207. (average 71:69).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Maia	84:75 ✺
31.10.25	Lusitânia - Maia	69:65 ✺
25.10.25	Sampaense - Maia	67:79 ✺
18.10.25	Maia - Académica Coimbra	88:60 ✺
11.10.25	Maia - Povoa	69:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
31.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos	50:51 ✺
25.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Illiabum	76:101 ✺
19.10.25	Casino Ginásio - Alianca Sangalhos	65:50 ✺
11.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	79:84 ✺
04.10.25	Povoa - Alianca Sangalhos	80:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
28.12.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Maia	88:86
01.11.24	Maia - Alianca Sangalhos	86:83
27.01.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Maia	70:67
25.11.23	Maia - Alianca Sangalhos	75:71
22.01.22	Maia - Alianca Sangalhos	52:53
13.11.21	Alianca Sangalhos - Maia	89:73

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