Match Info

Tauihi Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Cowles Stadium (Christchurch)


	Mainland Pouakai		Mid-North Whai

	1	2
	1.49	2.47
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.48	2.47
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)	2.41 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainland Pouakai
61.5%

Mid-North Whai
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainland Pouakai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainland Pouakai's form might have worsened.

Mid-North Whai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mid-North Whai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainland Pouakai than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainland Pouakai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mid-North Whai than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mid-North Whai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mainland Pouakai - Mid North Whai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hall B.	3. Cowling M.
11. Mikesell T.	73. Hank H.
45. Whittaker C.	4. McDowell-White J.
21. Whittle M.	5. Shearer E.
24. Yaeger M.	14. Snyder L.
Substitutes
30. Cutbush R.	26. Dalton T.
44. Dale M. (C)	11. Kirisome J. (C)
9. Jones A.	16. Kuka L.
5. Lacey-Rameka H.	8. Locandro S.
15. Lene K.	9. Rogers S.
1. O'Neill O.
8. Rogers E.
Coaches
. Stojkovic A.	. Bennett T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainland Pouakai won 2.

Mainland Pouakai is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mid-North Whai has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mid-North Whai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mainland Pouakai will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Mainland Pouakai will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mainland Pouakai won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 897:954. (average 74.8:79.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainland Pouakai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 459:479. (average 76.5:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainland Pouakai
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
06.12.25	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	99:92 ✺
28.11.25	Mainland Pouakai - Northern Kahu	102:62 ✺
20.11.25	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	99:94 ✺
16.11.25	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	63:68 ✺
07.11.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	89:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Mid-North Whai
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
05.12.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mid-North Whai	76:82 ✺
28.11.25	Mid-North Whai - Southern Hoiho	93:84 ✺
22.11.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mid-North Whai	88:82 ✺
21.11.25	Northern Kahu - Mid-North Whai	81:66 ✺
16.11.25	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	63:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
16.11.25	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	63:68
17.10.25	Mainland Pouakai - Mid-North Whai	93:102
10.10.25	Mainland Pouakai - Mid-North Whai	77:85
15.11.24	Mainland Pouakai - Mid-North Whai	98:83
07.11.24	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	91:71
05.10.24	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	98:80
26.08.23	Mainland Pouakai - Mid-North Whai	83:92

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