Match Info

Tauihi Women

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Edgar Centre (Dunedin)


	Southern Hoiho		Mainland Pouakai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.1	Watch
	1.15	3.91
	1.64	2.02	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)	2.55 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Hoiho
62.9%

Mainland Pouakai
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Hoiho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southern Hoiho's performance.

Mainland Pouakai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mainland Pouakai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Hoiho than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern Hoiho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainland Pouakai than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainland Pouakai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Southern Hoiho (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3, OT - Southern Hoiho (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southern Hoiho will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Southern Hoiho (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bradley P.	44. Dale M. (C)
10. Edwards J.	23. Hall B.
11. Jacobs C.	11. Mikesell T.
8. Pizzey R.	45. Whittaker C.
3. Simmons T.	24. Yaeger M.
Substitutes
12. Dart L.	17. Ainley E.
42. Fualau F.	30. Cutbush R.
9. Gallaher S. (C)	9. Jones A.
4. Howden A.	5. Lacey-Rameka H.
17. Langton E.	1. O'Neill O.
7. Pavihi T.	8. Rogers E.
24. Richards Z.	10. Toli H.
Coaches
. Marshall T.	. Stojkovic A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southern Hoiho won 2.

Southern Hoiho has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mainland Pouakai is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mainland Pouakai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Southern Hoiho is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Southern Hoiho won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 746:829. (average 74.6:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Southern Hoiho won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 383:375. (average 76.6:75).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Hoiho
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
15.11.25	Southern Hoiho - Tokomanawa Queens	75:68 ✺
08.11.25	Northern Kahu - Southern Hoiho	59:73 ✺
07.11.25	Southern Hoiho - Mid-North Whai	81:83 ✺
31.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	102:66 ✺
25.10.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Southern Hoiho	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL
- Mainland Pouakai
New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
16.11.25	Mid-North Whai - Mainland Pouakai	63:68 ✺
07.11.25	Tokomanawa Queens - Mainland Pouakai	89:93 ✺
01.11.25	Mainland Pouakai - Northern Kahu	85:66 ✺
31.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	102:66 ✺
24.10.25	Mainland Pouakai - Tokomanawa Queens	103:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Tauihi Basketball Women
31.10.25	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	102:66
26.09.25	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	121:83
28.11.24	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	88:66
26.10.24	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	69:78
12.10.24	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	78:91
25.08.23	Southern Hoiho - Mainland Pouakai	84:74
09.08.23	Mainland Pouakai - Southern Hoiho	102:61

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