Match Info

NBL

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Edgar Centre (Dunedin)


	Otago Nuggets		Taranaki Airs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.58	2.15	Watch
	1.59	2.25
	1.57	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otago Nuggets
59.7%

Taranaki Airs
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otago Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Taranaki Airs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago Nuggets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Louis A.	0. Cook A.
6. Moller C.	10. Green X.
12. Rusbatch E. (C)	13. Moors J.
1. Thata-Paese T.	2. Samuel T.
5. Tuach B.	1. Stroud B.
Substitutes
7. Bardsley M.	9. Adam Z.
4. Chisholm O.	32. Bailey Q. (C)
43. Hunt T.	8. Cooper J.
18. McKenzie Z.	42. Hill N.
8. Miller-Jose I.	3. Jones M.
10. Smiler C.	6. Tuhaka L.
42. Tipene P.	5. Vea L.
Coaches
. Sparrow J.	. White J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 0.

Otago Nuggets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Taranaki Airs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Otago Nuggets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Taranaki Airs has had a series of home games.

Otago Nuggets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1033:1134. (average 86.1:94.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Otago Nuggets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 427:457. (average 85.4:91.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago Nuggets
New Zealand NBL
13.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Canterbury Rams	58:93 ✺
06.06.26	Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets	96:90 ✺
05.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Franklin Bulls	93:94 ✺
31.05.26	Otago Nuggets - Southland Sharks	89:99 ✺
23.05.26	Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets	63:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
18.06.26	Southland Sharks - Taranaki Airs	84:93 ✺
12.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Tauranga Whai	85:73 ✺
06.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Auckland Tuatara	69:90 ✺
29.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets	77:89 ✺
24.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Canterbury Rams	86:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
04.07.25	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	93:83
07.06.25	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	78:92
12.06.24	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	88:101
31.05.24	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	105:95
15.07.23	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	95:100
22.04.23	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	79:97
23.07.22	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	73:98

Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide