Match Info

Basket League - Play Out - Round 2

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou (Marousi)

Referee: Christinakis E. (Gre)


	Maroussi Athens		Lavrio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.51	2.55	Watch
	1.56	2.42	Watch
	1.59	2.43
	1.54	2.45	Watch
	1.51	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)	2.46 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maroussi Athens
61.4%

Lavrio
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maroussi Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lavrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maroussi Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavrio than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lavrio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maroussi Athens - Lavrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Reynolds C.	24. Forrest J.
55. Langevine C.	20. Vaughn R.
72. Mantzoukas L.	22. Wahab Q.
17. Nikolaidis A.	3. Thornton M.
10. Fridriksson E.	7. Mouratos V. (C)
Substitutes
15. Briggs J.	4. Koniaris A.
4. Floyd J.	14. Patrikis A.
30. Giannopoulos C.	5. Payton C.
25. Harrell R.	12. Sherman T.
3. Karakostas G.	0. Tsamis P.
5. Stasinos O. (C)	55. Vazoukis I.
50. Tanoulis G.	13. Zaras T.
Coaches
. Batis M.	. Mexas K.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Lavrio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maroussi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maroussi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 426:417 (average 85.2:83.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Maroussi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 151:159 (average 75.5:79.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maroussi Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
05.04.25	Kolossos Rodou - Maroussi Athens	99:74 ✺
23.03.25	AEK Athens - Maroussi Athens	104:83 ✺
17.03.25	Maroussi Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	88:104 ✺
08.03.25	Karditsas - Maroussi Athens	80:67 ✺
02.03.25	Maroussi Athens - Panathinaikos	95:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lavrio BC
Greek Basket League A1
05.04.25	Lavrio - Aris	75:89 ✺
29.03.25	Peristeri BC - Lavrio	90:77 ✺
23.03.25	Panathinaikos - Lavrio	98:70 ✺
15.03.25	Lavrio - AEK Athens	79:90 ✺
10.03.25	Aris - Lavrio	82:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
09.02.25	Lavrio - Maroussi Athens	94:92
17.11.24	Maroussi Athens - Lavrio	80:84
22.04.24	Lavrio - Maroussi Athens	76:90
05.02.24	Maroussi Athens - Lavrio	71:75
13.11.23	Lavrio - Maroussi Athens	88:93

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