Match Info

NBL - Round 12

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Melbourne United		Sydney Kings

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.33
	1.54	2.5
	1.57	2.28	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.6	2.41	Watch
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 186.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
60.4%

Sydney Kings
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sydney Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Kings than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Melbourne United - Sydney Kings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Delany F.	10. Cooks X.
35. Doyle M.	1. Davis K.
13. Krebs T.	8. Dellavedova M. (C)
18. Krslovic F.	42. Kuol B.
2. Walker T.	11. Soares T.
Substitutes
15. Bowen K.	7. Bruce S.
4. Daniels D.	6. Galloway J.
43. Goulding C. (C)	5. Goodrick H.
51. Ili S.	15. Maluach M.
30. Koppens T.	12. Noi K.
9. Machar M.	3. Robertson T.
63. Tata N.
12. Wilson T.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.	. Goorjian B.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1785:1743. (average 89.3:87.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 905:839. (average 90.5:83.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
12.12.25	Adelaide 36ers - Melbourne United	114:105 OT ✺
06.12.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	111:86 ✺
04.12.25	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	96:84 ✺
23.11.25	Melbourne United - Perth Wildcats	98:87 ✺
21.11.25	Illawarra Hawks - Melbourne United	102:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW
- Sydney Kings
Australian NBL
12.12.25	Perth Wildcats - Sydney Kings	79:108 ✺
03.12.25	New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings	95:90 ✺
22.11.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Sydney Kings	104:81 ✺
15.11.25	Illawarra Hawks - Sydney Kings	71:98 ✺
09.11.25	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	79:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
03.11.25	Melbourne United - Sydney Kings	92:95
08.10.25	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	93:107
09.01.25	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	88:90
30.11.24	Melbourne United - Sydney Kings	101:98
31.10.24	Melbourne United - Sydney Kings	87:83
28.01.24	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	98:86
04.01.24	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	85:101

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