The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne United 42.4%
Sydney Kings 57.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.8%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Sydney Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Kings than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Kings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Melbourne United - Sydney Kings Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:98
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Anthony C.
10. Cooks X.
18. Krslovic F.
2. Craig T.
9. Machar M.
1. Davis K.
23. Travers L.
15. Maluach M.
21. Waardenburg S.
9. Wessels H.
Substitutes
15. Bowen K.
22. Bofinger L.
50. Bradtke J.
11. Carr A.
11. D'Angelo C.
8. Dellavedova M.
0. Faale J.
5. Hanson B.
43. Goulding C.
4. Johnston W.
24. Hynes W.
34. Leaupepe K.
51. Ili S.
13. Machar P.
7. Ingles J.
3. Robertson T.
13. MacDonald S.
14. Spurgin J.
2. Oduro J.
7. Stone J.
5. Shelley A.
12. Wilson T.
Coaches
. Chance J.
. Goorjian B.
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Sydney could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sydney has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1795:1763 (averaging 89.8:88.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 908:851 goals (averaging 90.8:85.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
2
Sydney
9
6
3
908:813
0.667
6
Melbourne United
9
4
5
854:828
0.444
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Melbourne United: 23.55%
Last Results with these Odds
Sydney Kings - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.18%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Australia
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Anthony C. 
Cooks X. 
Waardenburg S. 
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