Match Info

NBL - Round 21

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Cairns Convention Centre (Cairns)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Cairns Taipans		Melbourne United

	1	2
			Watch
	3.65	1.25
	3.97	1.25
	3.59	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	4.05	1.26	Watch
	4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.25)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cairns Taipans
24.8%

Melbourne United
75.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cairns Taipans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Taipans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:94

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Andrews A.	4. Daniels D.
14. Galloway K.	7. Delany F.
0. King M.	14. Edwards J.
9. McVeigh J. (C)	43. Goulding C. (C)
2. Smith R.	2. Walker T.
Substitutes
4. Adnam K.	15. Bowen K.
38. Barker L.	35. Doyle M.
24. Lee M.	51. Ili S.
1. McVeigh L.	30. Koppens T.
10. Richardson J.	13. Krebs T.
5. Schofield A.	18. Krslovic F.
6. Stattmann K.	9. Machar M.
	12. Wilson T.
Coaches
. Forde A.	. Vickerman D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taipans won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Taipans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taipans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1634:1787. (average 81.7:89.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Taipans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 631:672. (average 78.9:84).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Cairns Taipans	8	4	4	724:780	0.500
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647:630	0.429

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79% Cairns Taipans: 3.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cairns Taipans
Australian NBL
08.02.26	Brisbane Bullets - Cairns Taipans	72:81 ✺
06.02.26	Perth Wildcats - Cairns Taipans	98:84 ✺
01.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Sydney Kings	92:106 ✺
30.01.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	96:93 OT ✺
24.01.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Cairns Taipans	118:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL
- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
07.02.26	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	76:87 ✺
30.01.26	New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United	97:95 ✺
25.01.26	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	73:74 ✺
21.01.26	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	98:66 ✺
17.01.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	79:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
07.01.26	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	92:93
24.10.25	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	67:94
12.10.25	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	95:60
26.12.24	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	66:76
27.10.24	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	106:63
05.10.24	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	88:101
Club Friendly Basketball
07.09.24	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	94:87

Upcoming Matches