Match Info

NBL - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Qudos Bank Arena (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Sydney Kings		New Zealand Breakers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.45
	1.3	3.65
	1.24	3.45	Watch
	1.33	3.46	Watch
	1.26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.23)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Kings
73.8%

New Zealand Breakers
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 45.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Cooks X.	9. Baker R.
1. Davis K.	8. Brockington I.
8. Dellavedova M. (C)	6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
42. Kuol B.	1. Lopez K.
11. Soares T.	3. Mennenga S.
Substitutes
21. Awan L.	20. Andrew J.
7. Bruce S.	2. Bairstow S.
6. Galloway J.	5. Britt T.
5. Goodrick H.	12. Darling M.
20. Malual G.	21. Davison C.
12. Noi K.	4. Le'Afa I.
3. Robertson T.	7. Te Rangi R.
Coaches
. Goorjian B.	. Koponen P.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sydney is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1759:1632. (average 88:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 971:881. (average 88.3:80.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Kings
Australian NBL
03.11.25	Melbourne United - Sydney Kings	92:95 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Bullets - Sydney Kings	79:116 ✺
26.10.25	Sydney Kings - Tasmania JackJumpers	89:90 ✺
23.10.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Sydney Kings	112:95 ✺
19.10.25	Sydney Kings - Perth Wildcats	94:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW
- New Zealand Breakers
Australian NBL
06.11.25	New Zealand Breakers - Adelaide 36ers	79:83 ✺
31.10.25	Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers	60:102 ✺
23.10.25	New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets	83:84 ✺
18.10.25	Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers	104:88 ✺
17.10.25	New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
04.10.25	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	97:75
20.12.24	New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings	84:92
07.12.24	New Zealand Breakers - Sydney Kings	83:98
26.10.24	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	89:93
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.24	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	90:79
Australian NBL
28.02.24	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	76:83
14.01.24	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	105:76

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