Match Info

NBL - Round 3

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Nine


	Melbourne United		Cairns Taipans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	4.00
	1.17	4.90
	1.17	5.12
	1.22	4.06	Watch
	1.16	5.05
	1.21	4.67	Watch
	1.18	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.29)	4.67 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
79.7%

Cairns Taipans
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne United's performance.

Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cairns Taipans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:86

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Anthony C.
9. Machar M.
2. Oduro J.
23. Travers L.
21. Waardenburg S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.

Performances by Taipans have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Taipans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Taipans has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Melbourne for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1788:1638 (averaging 89.4:81.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 1027:922 goals (averaging 93.4:83.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Cairns Taipans	8	4	4	724:780	0.500
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647:630	0.429

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79% Cairns Taipans: 3.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Cairns Taipans - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
01.10.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:82 ✺
24.09.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	61:86 ✺
19.09.26	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	95:97 ✺
07.03.26	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	95:77 ✺
05.03.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Cairns Taipans
Australian NBL
30.09.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	98:75 ✺
27.09.26	Adelaide 36ers - Cairns Taipans	83:69 ✺
23.09.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	93:87 ✺
20.09.26	Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans	111:90 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	Brisbane Bullets - Cairns Taipans	98:129
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
12.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	85:89
07.01.26	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	92:93
24.10.25	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	67:94
12.10.25	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	95:60
26.12.24	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	66:76
27.10.24	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	106:63
05.10.24	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	88:101

Upcoming Matches