Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mercyhurst Lakers		Stonehill Skyhawks

	1	2
	1.45	2.65
	1.45	2.6
	1.46	2.75
	1.49	2.48	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	2.62 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 129.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercyhurst Lakers
64.3%

Stonehill Skyhawks
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercyhurst Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Stonehill Skyhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercyhurst Lakers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stonehill Skyhawks than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stonehill Skyhawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:63

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mercyhurst might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mercyhurst won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 281:288. (average 70.3:72).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 133:131. (average 66.5:65.5).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Stonehill: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.03.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	70:61 ✺
28.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	72:75 OT ✺
26.02.26	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils - Mercyhurst Lakers	80:78 ✺
21.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks	91:83 ✺
19.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Wagner Seahawks	80:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- Stonehill Skyhawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.03.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - Stonehill Skyhawks	71:81 ✺
28.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	72:75 OT ✺
26.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - St. Francis PA Red Flash	103:77 ✺
21.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Le Moyne Dolphins	77:68 ✺
19.02.26	New Haven Chargers - Stonehill Skyhawks	64:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	72:75 OT
17.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks	57:62 OT
15.02.25	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	85:73
03.01.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks	76:69

Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks