Match Info

NCAA

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Merrimack Warriors		Mount St. Marys Mountaineers

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.47	2.55
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.43
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	2.59 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
63.5%

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount St. Marys Mountaineers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 0.

Merrimack is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mount St. Marys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Merrimack may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merrimack is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Merrimack will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 446:515. (average 55.8:64.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 227:241. (average 56.8:60.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	72:80 ✺
14.12.25	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	66:59 ✺
10.12.25	Princeton Tigers - Merrimack Warriors	56:59 ✺
07.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags	74:63 ✺
04.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Rider Broncs	68:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Mount St. Marys Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.25	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Iona Gaels	66:59 ✺
19.12.25	Drexel Dragons - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	75:67 ✺
13.12.25	Loyola MD Greyhounds - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	73:81 ✺
05.12.25	Marist Red Foxes - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	64:56 ✺
03.12.25	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Sacred Heart Pioneers	80:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.03.25	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	55:57
31.01.25	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	58:66
03.02.22	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Merrimack Warriors	69:53
17.01.22	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	50:57
15.01.21	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Merrimack Warriors	63:52
14.01.21	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Merrimack Warriors	77:57
23.02.20	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Merrimack Warriors	65:57

Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide