Match Info
NBA Las Vegas Summer League - Losers Play Offs - FinalDate: 17 July 2026, FridayLocation: Thomas & Mack Center (Las Vegas, NV)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
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Miami Heat |
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Detroit Pistons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
|
1.51 |
 Watch |
 |
2.40 |
|
1.59 |
|
 |
2.3 |
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1.5 |
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 |
2.52 |
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1.54 |
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 |
2.34 |
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1.54 |
Watch |
 |
2.5 |
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1.51 |
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 |
2.66 |
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1.5 |
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 |
2.45 |
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1.53 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(1.98) |
|
1.53 ↓
(1.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 185.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Miami Heat
38.4% | Detroit Pistons
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Heat's form might have worsened.Detroit Pistons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit Pistons's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit Pistons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Detroit will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:95 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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| .  Jones I.
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| . Lanier C.
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| .  Okorie E.
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| . Onyenso U.
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| . Williams B.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.Miami has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Detroit is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2215:2168. (average 110.8:108.4).Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1100:1108. (average 110:110.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Miami Heat - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.96%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Detroit Pistons - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.04%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 08.03.26 | Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons | 121:110 | | 01.01.26 | Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat | 112:118 | | 29.11.25 | Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons | 135:138 | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 17.07.25 | Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons | 88:108 | | NBA | | | 19.03.25 | Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons | 113:116 | | 16.12.24 | Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat | 125:124 OT | | 12.11.24 | Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat | 123:121 OT |
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