Match Info

NBA

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Miami Heat		Portland Trail Blazers

	1	2
	2.4	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.35	1.66
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.47	1.63
	1.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.68)	1.75 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 241.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Heat
44.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Heat's form might have worsened.

Portland Trail Blazers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Trail Blazers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Trail Blazers than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Trail Blazers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Portland will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Portland (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:123

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Larsson P.	33. Camara T.
22. Wiggins A.	8. Avdija D.
7. Ware K.	23. Clingan D.
24. Powell N.	17. Sharpe S.
45. Mitchell D.	5. Holiday J.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.	. Billups C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.

Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portland is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B. (Toe Injury) Herro T. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Portland: Lillard D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Thybulle M. (Finger Injury) Wesley B. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2204:2088. (average 110.2:104.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1023:964. (average 113.7:107.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Portland Trail Blazers - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Heat
NBA
07.11.25	Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets	126:108 ✺
05.11.25	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	122:112 ✺
03.11.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Miami Heat	119:120 ✺
02.11.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Miami Heat	130:120 ✺
30.10.25	San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat	107:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL
- Portland Trail Blazers
NBA
05.11.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder	121:118 ✺
03.11.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Lakers	115:123 ✺
31.10.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets	109:107 ✺
29.10.25	Utah Jazz - Portland Trail Blazers	134:136 ✺
27.10.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Portland Trail Blazers	108:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
21.01.25	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	107:116
11.01.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	98:119
29.03.24	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	142:82
27.02.24	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	96:106
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
16.07.23	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	78:104
NBA
07.11.22	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	107:110
26.10.22	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	98:119

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