Match Info

NBA

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Milwaukee Bucks		Miami Heat

	1	2
	2.85	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.85	1.42
	3.21	1.39	Watch
	2.95	1.4
	3.11	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.87)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 227.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milwaukee Bucks
32.3%

Miami Heat
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milwaukee Bucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milwaukee Bucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami Heat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Milwaukee will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Miami will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milwaukee: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Miami (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 229.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5, OT - Milwaukee (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 3 - 60%). Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:117

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Green A.	9. Larsson P.
18. Kuzma K.	22. Wiggins A.
3. Turner M.	13. Adebayo B.
7. Porter K.	24. Powell N.
13. Rollins R.	45. Mitchell D.
Coaches
. Rivers D.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 3.

Recent performances by Milwaukee have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Miami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Milwaukee has had a series of away games.

Miami is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Milwaukee: Antetokounmpo G. (Calf Injury) Prince T. (Neck Injury)

There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2234:2224. (average 111.7:111.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Milwaukee won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1260:1224. (average 114.5:111.3).

Outrights of NBA for now

Miami Heat: 3.04% Milwaukee Bucks: 0.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milwaukee Bucks
NBA
22.02.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Toronto Raptors	94:122 ✺
20.02.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Milwaukee Bucks	118:139 ✺
12.02.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks	93:110 ✺
11.02.26	Orlando Magic - Milwaukee Bucks	108:116 ✺
09.02.26	Orlando Magic - Milwaukee Bucks	118:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWWL
- Miami Heat
NBA
21.02.26	Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies	136:120 ✺
20.02.26	Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat	97:128 ✺
11.02.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat	111:123 ✺
09.02.26	Miami Heat - Utah Jazz	111:115 ✺
08.02.26	Washington Wizards - Miami Heat	101:132 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
26.11.25	Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks	106:103
06.10.25	Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks	93:103
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
18.07.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat	92:93
NBA
05.04.25	Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks	115:121 OT
23.02.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat	120:113
23.01.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat	125:96
26.11.24	Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks	103:106

Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide