Match Info

NBA

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Minnesota Timberwolves		Miami Heat

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.56	2.57	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.71
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 238.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Timberwolves
62.8%

Miami Heat
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Timberwolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Timberwolves than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Miami will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Miami (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 - Miami (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 238, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5, 1st Half - Miami (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Miami (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 122:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. McDaniels J.	22. Wiggins A.
30. Randle J.	13. Adebayo B.
27. Gobert R.	7. Ware K.
5. Edwards A.	24. Powell N.
0. DiVincenzo D.	45. Mitchell D.
Coaches
. Finch C.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4.

In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Miami is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.

Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.

In this match, Minnesota is the team to beat.

There will not play in Minnesota: Shannon Jr. T. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2222:2163. (average 111.1:108.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 951:912. (average 105.7:101.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Heat - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
04.01.26	Washington Wizards - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:141 ✺
03.01.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:125 ✺
31.12.25	Atlanta Hawks - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:102 ✺
29.12.25	Chicago Bulls - Minnesota Timberwolves	101:136 ✺
27.12.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Brooklyn Nets	107:123 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- Miami Heat
NBA
04.01.26	Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans	125:106 ✺
03.01.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:125 ✺
01.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat	112:118 ✺
29.12.25	Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets	147:123 ✺
27.12.25	Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers	142:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
03.01.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:125
07.03.25	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	104:106
10.11.24	Minnesota Timberwolves - Miami Heat	94:95
18.12.23	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	108:112
28.10.23	Minnesota Timberwolves - Miami Heat	106:90
26.12.22	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	113:110
21.11.22	Minnesota Timberwolves - Miami Heat	105:101

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