Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	16:00	CT sport Plus
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+
France	16:00	beIN Sports 2
Germany	16:00	Magenta Sport
Greece	17:00	ERT 1, Nova Sports Start
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub 1
Slovakia	16:00	STVR Sport
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV
International	14:00	Court Side 1891


	Greece		Finland

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.63
	1.41	2.67	Watch
	1.46	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.71 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greece
64.9%

Finland
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greece than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finland than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	0%	29%

Greece - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Greece will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Finland will win (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Greece: 55% – 87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Finland (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 168.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 83.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -8.5, OT - Greece (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 170.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5, OT - Finland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Finland (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Antetokounmpo G. Milwaukee Bucks	34. Grandison J. PAOK
2. Dorsey T. Olympiacos Piraeus	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
19. Katsivelis D. AEK Athens	1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara
16. Papanikolaou K. (C) Olympiacos Piraeus	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
10. Sloukas K. Panathinaikos	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Substitutes
37. Antetokounmpo K. Murcia	30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket
43. Antetokounmpo T. Milwaukee Bucks	20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida
11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos	21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque
5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus	24. Muurinen M.
44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos	13. Nkamhoua O. Varese
20. Samontourov A.	9. Salin S. (C) Estudiantes
7. Toliopoulos V. Panathinaikos	35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Finland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Greece will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Greece will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Greece won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 154:175. (average 77:87.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greece basketball
EuroBasket
12.09.25	Greece - Turkey	68:94 ✺
09.09.25	Lithuania - Greece	76:87 ✺
07.09.25	Greece - Israel	84:79 ✺
04.09.25	Spain - Greece	86:90 ✺
02.09.25	Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina	77:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- Finland basketball
EuroBasket
12.09.25	Germany - Finland	98:86 ✺
10.09.25	Finland - Georgia	93:79 ✺
06.09.25	Serbia - Finland	86:92 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
05.09.17	Greece - Finland	77:89
09.09.13	Greece - Finland	77:86

Greece - Finland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide