Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, ERT 2, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	DAZN, SVT 24, SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Greece		Turkey

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.92	1.93	Watch
	2.06	1.88
	2.97	1.37	Watch
	2.03	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greece
45.4%

Turkey
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Turkey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greece than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turkey than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.5%	0%	67.5%

Greece - Turkey Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Greece will win (votes: 26 - 32.9%). Turkey will win (votes: 53 - 67.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turkey: 56.7% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Turkey (votes: 25 - 59.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Turkey (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4, OT - Greece (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 162.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Turkey (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Greece (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 46 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 19 - 41.3%). Turkey (votes: 27 - 58.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Antetokounmpo G. Milwaukee Bucks	2. Hazer S. Bahcesehir Koleji
2. Dorsey T. Olympiacos Piraeus	0. Larkin S. Anadolu Efes
44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos	6. Osman C. (C) Panathinaikos
16. Papanikolaou K. (C) Olympiacos Piraeus	24. Osmani E. Anadolu Efes
10. Sloukas K. Panathinaikos	23. Sengun A. Houston Rockets
Substitutes
37. Antetokounmpo K. Murcia	10. Bitim O. Fenerbahce
43. Antetokounmpo T. Milwaukee Bucks	30. Bona Adem Philadelphia 76ers
11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos	22. Korkmaz F. Bahcesehir Koleji
19. Katsivelis D. AEK Athens	5. Sanli S. Fenerbahce
5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus	55. Sipahi K. Bahcesehir Koleji
20. Samontourov A.	33. Yilmaz E. Anadolu Efes
7. Toliopoulos V. Panathinaikos	77. Yurtseven O. F. Panathinaikos
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Ataman E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greece won 5.

Greece is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Turkey is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Greece won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 994:891. (average 76.5:68.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greece basketball
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Lithuania - Greece	76:87 ✺
07.09.25	Greece - Israel	84:79 ✺
04.09.25	Spain - Greece	86:90 ✺
02.09.25	Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina	77:80 ✺
31.08.25	Georgia - Greece	53:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Turkey basketball
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Turkey - Poland	91:77 ✺
06.09.25	Turkey - Sweden	85:79 ✺
03.09.25	Turkey - Serbia	95:90 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
30.08.25	Turkey - Portugal	95:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
19.08.22	Greece - Turkey	89:80
World Championship Basketball
28.02.22	Turkey - Greece	67:76
25.02.22	Greece - Turkey	72:71
Olympic Games - Basketball
03.07.21	Turkey - Greece	63:81
Acropolis Tournament
17.08.19	Greece - Turkey	84:70
Friendly International Basketball
26.06.16	Turkey - Greece	70:75
23.06.16	Greece - Turkey	78:52

Greece - Turkey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide