Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday


	Mount Gambier Pioneers		Melbourne Tigers

	1	2
			Watch
	4.2	1.18
	8.27	1.01
			Watch
	7	1.08
	21	1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.12 ↑ (2.65)	1.07 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-32)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mount Gambier Pioneers
9.5%

Melbourne Tigers
90.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mount Gambier Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mount Gambier Pioneers's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (+25.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Melbourne Tigers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Melbourne Tigers (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Tigers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 61:93

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Melbourne Tigers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mount Gambier has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melbourne Tigers is considered a favorite.

We predict that Mount Gambier will win today's game, with odds of 3.12.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 311:288. (average 77.8:72).

Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 182:115. (average 91:57.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mount Gambier Pioneers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
14.06.25	Knox Raiders - Mount Gambier Pioneers	81:51 ✺
14.06.25	Kilsyth Cobras - Mount Gambier Pioneers	63:78 ✺
30.05.25	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Dandenong Rangers	70:79 ✺
24.05.25	Bendigo Braves - Mount Gambier Pioneers	49:79 ✺
24.05.25	Ballarat Miners - Mount Gambier Pioneers	56:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW
- Melbourne Tigers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
14.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - Hobart Chargers	104:74 ✺
14.06.25	Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers	68:64 ✺
06.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder	80:91 ✺
31.05.25	Geelong United - Melbourne Tigers	79:56 ✺
24.05.25	Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers	77:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
06.07.24	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Melbourne Tigers	108:72
06.05.23	Melbourne Tigers - Mount Gambier Pioneers	67:65
28.05.22	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Melbourne Tigers	74:43
08.05.21	Melbourne Tigers - Mount Gambier Pioneers	106:64

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Melbourne Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide