Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Melbourne Tigers		Keilor Thunder

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	1.96
	1.61	2.13
	1.65	2.04	Watch
	1.64	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Tigers
55.3%

Keilor Thunder
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Keilor Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keilor Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:71

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Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Keilor has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 382:377. (average 76.4:75.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 223:253. (average 74.3:84.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Tigers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
23.05.26	Kilsyth Cobras - Melbourne Tigers	68:78 ✺
16.05.26	Ballarat Miners - Melbourne Tigers	65:86 ✺
09.05.26	Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues	84:61 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong United - Melbourne Tigers	71:68 ✺
02.05.26	Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders	86:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Keilor Thunder Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
23.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	90:95 ✺
16.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Kilsyth Cobras	92:71 ✺
09.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Hobart Chargers	97:52 ✺
09.05.26	Frankston Blues - Keilor Thunder	57:84 ✺
02.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	74:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
06.06.25	Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder	80:91
01.06.24	Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder	70:77 OT
15.04.23	Keilor Thunder - Melbourne Tigers	52:81
09.07.22	Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder	73:85
04.06.22	Keilor Thunder - Melbourne Tigers	72:78

Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide