Match Info

Eurocup - Round 4

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Kowalski K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Turkey	TRT Spor Yildiz
International	EuroLeague TV


	Napoli Basket		Tofaş

	1	2
	1.29	3.35	Watch
	1.34	3.10
	1.28	3.5
	1.26	3.72
	1.3	3.26
	1.23	3.6
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	3.4 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
72.6%

Tofaş
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tofaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tofaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Napoli Basket - Tofaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Napoli Basket will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Dowtin J.	44. Brown G.
10. Faggian L.	5. Carter T.
37. Ramsey J.	32. Jones T.
1. Seljaas Z.	33. Reynolds S.
25. Tarczewski K.	15. Thurman T.
Substitutes
22. Brown M.	55. Apaydin L. H.
30. Caruso G.	4. Corumlular K.
23. Jakimovski A.	2. Gonul B.
11. Petrucelli J.	6. Kabaca E.
12. Sankare A.	8. McNeace J.
0. Spissu M.	10. Nutall Z.
35. Tote L.	35. Pasaoglu R.
14. White J.	22. Postel E.
	3. Saybir Y.
	24. Serbest E.
Coaches
. Repesa J.	. Cancellieri M.

Outrights of Eurocup for now

Basket Napoli: 3.27% Tofas: 2.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Tofaş - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.10.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	82:98 ✺
Eurocup
14.10.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Napoli Basket	82:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.26	Cantù - Napoli Basket	80:99 ✺
Eurocup
06.10.26	KK Budućnost - Napoli Basket	75:93 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.10.26	Napoli Basket - Reggiana	99:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
17.10.26	Körfez - Tofaş	69:71 ✺
Eurocup
14.10.26	Tofaş - KK Budućnost	90:85 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
10.10.26	Tofaş - Esenler Erokspor	79:87 ✺
Eurocup
06.10.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Tofaş	82:89 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
03.10.26	Denizli Basket - Tofaş	101:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

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