Match Info
NBLDate: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Trafalgar Centre (Nelson)
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Nelson Giants |
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Otago Nuggets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.46 |
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2.42 |
Watch |
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1.46 |
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2.56 |
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1.5 |
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2.42 |
Watch |
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1.47 |
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2.5 |
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1.44 |
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2.59 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.5) |
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2.5 ↑ (2.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nelson Giants 63% | Otago Nuggets 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nelson Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Otago Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nelson Giants that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago Nuggets than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:88 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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67. Judd L.
| 13. Louis A.
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77. Luukkonen E.
| 8. Miller-Jose I.
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0. McNaught A.
| 6. Moller C.
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5. Perrott-Hunt K.
| 12. Rusbatch E. (C)
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18. Smith-Milner T.
| 5. Tuach B.
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| Substitutes |
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2. Adams C.
| 7. Bardsley M.
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10. Dempster S. (C)
| 9. Bezett H.
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1. Inwood E.
| 4. Chisholm O.
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35. Matthews J.
| 21. Martin C.
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11. Nickel J.
| 18. McKenzie Z.
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12. Rampton Z.
| 10. Smiler C.
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7. Varricchio R.
| 1. Thata-Paese T.
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| Coaches |
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. Fitchett M.
| . Sparrow J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Nelson Giants may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Nelson Giants could have a small edge in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1182:1231. (average 84.4:87.9).Including home matches between the teams, Nelson Giants won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 503:513. (average 83.8:85.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 15.04.26 | Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants | 86:77 | | 13.06.25 | Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets | 94:82 | | 27.04.25 | Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants | 86:98 | | 05.07.24 | Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets | 79:88 | | 04.05.24 | Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants | 107:94 | | 07.07.23 | Nelson Giants - Otago Nuggets | 75:86 | | 27.04.23 | Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants | 90:83 |
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