Match Info
NBADate: 16 March 2026, MondayLocation: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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New Orleans Pelicans |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 240.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Orleans Pelicans
74.9% | Dallas Mavericks
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Orleans Pelicans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -9.5, OT - New Orleans (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 125:116 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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41.  Bey S.
| 13. Marshall N.
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1. Williamson Z.
| 32. Flagg C.
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21.  Missi Y.
| 25. Washington P. J.
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2. Jones H.
| 00. Christie M.
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25. Murphy T.
| 9.  Nembhard R.
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| Substitutes |
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0. Fears J.
| 35. Bagley M.
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24. Hawkins J.
| 8. Johnson A.
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6. Jordan D.
| 20. Middleton K.
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55. Looney K.
| 1. Poulakidas J.
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17.  Matkovic K.
| 7. Powell D.
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5. Murray D.
| 21. Smith T.
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14. Peavy M.
| 10. Williams B.
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3. Poole J.
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22. Queen D.
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| Coaches |
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. Borrego J.
| . Kidd J.
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Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games. In this match, New Orleans is seen as the favorite.There will not play in New Orleans: McGowens B.
(Toe Injury)There will not play in Dallas: Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Gafford D.
(Illness)We predict that New Orleans will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2257:2348. (average 112.9:117.4).Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1080:1093. (average 120:121.4).
Outrights of NBA for now
Dallas Mavericks: 0.47% New Orleans Pelicans: 0.25%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 22.12.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks | 119:113 | | 21.11.25 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 118:115 | | 05.11.25 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 99:101 | | 21.02.25 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 111:103 | | 29.01.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks | 136:137 | | 15.01.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks | 119:116 | | 19.11.24 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 132:91 |
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