Match Info

NCAA

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Niagara Purple Eagles		Mount St. Marys Mountaineers

	1	2
	2.45	1.59
	2.4	1.52
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.5	1.51
	2.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.98)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara Purple Eagles
38.8%

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara Purple Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niagara Purple Eagles's form might have worsened.

Mount St. Marys Mountaineers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mount St. Marys Mountaineers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara Purple Eagles than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niagara Purple Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mount St. Marys Mountaineers than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mount St. Marys Mountaineers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Niagara Purple Eagles - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Niagara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 64:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Niagara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 432:439. (average 72:73.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 222:230. (average 74:76.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara Purple Eagles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.01.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Niagara Purple Eagles	54:59 ✺
11.01.26	Manhattan Jaspers - Niagara Purple Eagles	79:70 ✺
09.01.26	Iona Gaels - Niagara Purple Eagles	71:53 ✺
04.01.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Fairfield Stags	75:83 ✺
02.01.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Sacred Heart Pioneers	64:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLW
- Mount St. Marys Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	68:78 ✺
11.01.26	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Siena Saints	50:67 ✺
09.01.26	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - St. Peters Peacocks	70:65 ✺
04.01.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	80:69 ✺
02.01.26	Merrimack Warriors - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	75:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.02.25	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	83:84
05.01.25	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Niagara Purple Eagles	68:62
03.03.24	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	72:91
21.01.24	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Niagara Purple Eagles	71:82
17.02.23	Mount St. Marys Mountaineers - Niagara Purple Eagles	70:66
31.12.22	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	67:55

Niagara Purple Eagles - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide