Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	North Carolina State Wolfpack		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	1.24	3.9
	1.25	3.5
	1.26	4
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.23	3.97
	1.26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.71 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina State Wolfpack
74.6%

North Carolina Tar Heels
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina State Wolfpack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

North Carolina Tar Heels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina State Wolfpack than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina State won 1.

North Carolina State has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

North Carolina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

North Carolina State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, North Carolina State is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1500:1711. (average 75:85.6).

Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 722:797. (average 72.2:79.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Miami FL Hurricanes	76:77 ✺
09.02.26	Louisville Cardinals - North Carolina State Wolfpack	118:77 ✺
07.02.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Virginia Tech Hokies	82:73 ✺
03.02.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina State Wolfpack	83:84 ✺
31.01.26	Wake Forest Demon Deacons - North Carolina State Wolfpack	78:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW
- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Pittsburgh Panthers	79:65 ✺
10.02.26	Miami FL Hurricanes - North Carolina Tar Heels	75:66 ✺
07.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	71:68 ✺
02.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Syracuse Orange	87:77 ✺
31.01.26	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - North Carolina Tar Heels	75:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
19.02.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina State Wolfpack	97:73
11.01.25	North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels	61:63
16.03.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina State Wolfpack	76:84
02.03.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina State Wolfpack	79:70
10.01.24	North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels	54:67
19.02.23	North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels	77:69
21.01.23	North Carolina Tar Heels - North Carolina State Wolfpack	80:69

North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide