Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Norths Bears		Maitland Mustangs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.3
	1.44	2.47
	1.5	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.48	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	2.37 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norths Bears
61.4%

Maitland Mustangs
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norths Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norths Bears than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norths Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maitland Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Norths may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Norths is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norths won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 417:446. (average 83.4:89.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norths won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 169:184. (average 84.5:92).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norths Bears
Australian NBL1 East
16.05.26	Norths Bears - Central Coast Crusaders	107:90 ✺
09.05.26	Norths Bears - Hornsby Spiders	102:96 ✺
09.05.26	Norths Bears - Newcastle Falcons	95:80 ✺
02.05.26	Hills Hornets - Norths Bears	62:92 ✺
26.04.26	Illawarra Hawks 2 - Norths Bears	111:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Maitland Mustangs
Australian NBL1 East
24.05.26	Maitland Mustangs - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	85:61 ✺
23.05.26	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	102:84 ✺
16.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	81:73 ✺
09.05.26	Albury Wodonga Bandits - Maitland Mustangs	79:103 ✺
02.05.26	Bankstown Bruins - Maitland Mustangs	78:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
01.06.25	Maitland Mustangs - Norths Bears	85:89
29.06.24	Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs	93:112
26.03.23	Maitland Mustangs - Norths Bears	79:93
17.07.22	Maitland Mustangs - Norths Bears	98:66
23.04.22	Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs	76:72

Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide