Match Info
NBL - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 9 July 2025, WednesdayLocation: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Taranaki Airs |
|
Tauranga Whai |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.48 |
|
2.4 |
|
 |
1.52 |
|
2.3 |
Watch |
 |
1.31 |
|
3.11 |
|
 |
1.5 |
|
2.5 |
|
 |
1.55 |
|
2.34 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.35) |
|
2.53 ↓
(2.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Taranaki Airs
63.2% | Tauranga Whai
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Tauranga Whai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taranaki Airs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauranga Whai than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tauranga Whai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Taranaki Airs (votes: 2 - 40%). Whai (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 - Whai (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -8.5, OT - Whai (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Taranaki Airs (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Whai (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
21.  Andrew J.
| 7.  Bairstow S.
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2. Davison C.
| 3. King M.
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11.  Dut D.
| 21. Murphy S.
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7.  Fletcher A.
| 5. Perrott-Hunt K. (C)
|
13. Moller C. (C)
| 1. Rissetto A.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
32. Bailey Q.
| 66. Bezzant J.
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0. Exeter J.
| 2. Boucher J.
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3. Gerrand J.
| 11. Davis L.
|
25. Kelman-Poto D.
| 27. Hopoi C.
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34. Quinnell C.
| 8. Marsters X.
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1. Telfer S.
| 4. Thompson J.
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9. Zavier A.
| 31. Wade M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Mackinnon S.
| . Bennett T.
|
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Whai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Whai has had a series of away games. In this match, Taranaki Airs is a strong favorite.We predict that Taranaki Airs will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 170:152. (average 85:76).Including home match between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 95:90.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 15.05.25 | Tauranga Whai - Taranaki Airs | 62:75 | | 26.04.25 | Taranaki Airs - Tauranga Whai | 95:90 |
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