Match Info

Basket League - Round 21

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)


	PAOK		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.63
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.5	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
63.4%

Aris
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

PAOK - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 50%). Aris (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 - Aris (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aris (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Beverley P.	37. Antetokounmpo K.
2. Melvin C.	13. Bochoridis E. (C)
26. Moore B.	25. Harrell R.
18. Persidis N.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
5. Tyree B.	5. Noua A.
Substitutes
33. Dimsa T.	33. Andusic D.
25. Fillios G.	10. Forester J.
20. Iatridis K.	3. Jones B.
6. Koniaris A.	98. Kulboka A.
11. Omoruyi C.	2. Lefas P.
10. Slaftsakis D.	11. Poulianitis S.
13. Zaras T. (C)	9. Tsairelis M.
Coaches
. Boutskos P.	. Milicic I.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 2.

PAOK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Aris has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

PAOK might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1543:1457. (average 77.2:72.9).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 824:716. (average 82.4:71.6).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

PAOK: 3.97% Aris: 2.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	PAOK	1	1	0	88:85	2
8	Aris	1	0	1	68:74	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	UCAM Murcia - PAOK	89:85 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.04.26	PAOK - Karditsas	93:90 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.04.26	PAOK - UCAM Murcia	79:73 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
28.03.26	PAOK - Promitheas Patras	100:70 ✺
25.03.26	PAOK - Mykonos	100:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
04.04.26	Aris - AEK Athens	82:78 ✺
28.03.26	Kolossos Rodou - Aris	92:96 ✺
21.03.26	Aris - Karditsas	78:55 ✺
07.03.26	Aris - Maroussi Athens	102:76 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
17.02.26	Maroussi Athens - Aris	87:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
01.11.25	Aris - PAOK	73:78
01.03.25	PAOK - Aris	75:63
01.12.24	Aris - PAOK	88:82
Greek Cup Basketball
15.02.24	PAOK - Aris	74:76
Greek Basket League A1
11.02.24	Aris - PAOK	77:63
18.11.23	PAOK - Aris	82:76
22.01.23	Aris - PAOK	77:70

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