Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 11

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bendat Basketball Centre (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9Now, ESPN


	Perth Lynx		Geelong Venom

	1	2
			Watch
	1	10
	1.03	7.23	Watch
	1.02	10.5
	1.01	12.5
	1.01	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.03)	11.05 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Lynx
91.6%

Geelong Venom
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Geelong Venom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Perth Lynx - Geelong Venom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Half - Perth (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Atwell A.	5. Brett E.
8. Ciabattoni A.	23. Heal S. (C)
21. Han Xu	54. Holmes M.
24. Maley A. (C)	9. Sharp A.
5. Wilson A.	4. Shelley J.
Substitutes
42. Fotu A.	12. Clinch-Hoycard M.
2. Gorman S.	11. Mole T.
10. Graham T.	2. Rotunno L.
20. Morris Y.	3. Woolley G.
7. Scafidi J.
9. Waite K.
3. Weir K.
Coaches
. Petrik R.	. Lucas C.

Preview

Perth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Geelong Venom has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Geelong Venom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Perth is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 417:389. (average 83.4:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 191:148. (average 95.5:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Lynx
Australian WNBL
23.12.25	Perth Lynx - Canberra Capitals	75:49 ✺
21.12.25	Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx	82:109 ✺
14.12.25	Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx	81:97 ✺
05.12.25	Perth Lynx - Southside Flyers	98:81 ✺
29.11.25	Canberra Capitals - Perth Lynx	67:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Geelong Venom
Australian WNBL
20.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom	77:73 ✺
16.12.25	Southside Flyers - Geelong Venom	86:58 ✺
13.12.25	Geelong Venom - Bendigo Spirit	71:77 ✺
06.12.25	Geelong Venom - Canberra Capitals	75:76 ✺
05.12.25	Bendigo Spirit - Geelong Venom	93:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
11.11.25	Geelong Venom - Perth Lynx	88:69
01.11.25	Geelong Venom - Perth Lynx	76:77
07.02.25	Perth Lynx - Geelong Venom	95:77
11.01.25	Geelong Venom - Perth Lynx	77:80
23.12.24	Perth Lynx - Geelong Venom	96:71

Perth Lynx - Geelong Venom: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide