Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 10

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Adelaide Arena (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9Now, ESPN 2, ESPN


	Adelaide Lightning		Perth Lynx

	1	2
	6.75	1.06
	6.5	1.06
	6.61	1.06
	5.93	1.09	Watch
	6.75	1.09
	5.35	1.13
	9	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (3.7)	1.08 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Lightning
13.8%

Perth Lynx
86.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Lightning's form might have worsened.

Perth Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perth Lynx's recent form is better than expected.

Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +14.5, OT - Adelaide (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Brazel T.	25. Atwell A. (C)
20. Feagin S.	8. Ciabattoni A.
4. Loughridge D.	21. Han Xu
11. Pupuke-Robati S.	24. Maley A.
7. Talbot S. (C)	5. Wilson A.
Substitutes
12. Bollmann E.	42. Fotu A.
15. Fejo J.	2. Gorman S.
13. Freer J.	10. Graham T.
10. Freer M.	20. Morris Y.
6. Porter R.	9. Waite K.
31. Strawbridge A.
1. Tofaeono E.
Coaches
. Parham Ammar A.	. Petrik R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.

Adelaide has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Perth is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games.

In this match, Perth is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1600:1691. (average 80:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 901:915. (average 81.9:83.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Lightning
Australian WNBL
19.12.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	75:67 ✺
13.12.25	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	75:94 ✺
09.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning	76:71 ✺
29.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	71:65 ✺
25.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire	64:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Perth Lynx
Australian WNBL
14.12.25	Townsville Fire - Perth Lynx	81:97 ✺
05.12.25	Perth Lynx - Southside Flyers	98:81 ✺
29.11.25	Canberra Capitals - Perth Lynx	67:91 ✺
22.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx	87:58 ✺
16.11.25	Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit	79:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
19.10.25	Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx	72:75
01.02.25	Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx	87:69
05.01.25	Perth Lynx - Adelaide Lightning	94:76
09.11.24	Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx	78:92
07.01.24	Perth Lynx - Adelaide Lightning	84:68
09.12.23	Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx	95:98 OT
11.11.23	Perth Lynx - Adelaide Lightning	92:85

Adelaide Lightning - Perth Lynx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide