Match Info

WNBA

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Moda Center (Portland, OR)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Portland Fire		Phoenix Mercury

	1	2
	2.25	1.60	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.18	1.70
	2.22	1.70
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.16	1.70
	2.29	1.66
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portland Fire
42.4%

Phoenix Mercury
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Fire's form might have worsened.

Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Fire than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Fire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Engstler E.	1. Brochant N.
2. Harrison J.	10. Held A.
13. Puoch N.	4. Mack N.
44. Samuelson K.	25. Thomas A.
25. Williams S.	33. Whitcomb S.
Coaches
. Sarama A.	. Tibbetts N.

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 160:163. (average 80:81.5).

Including home match between the teams, Portland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:78.

Last Results with these Odds

Phoenix Mercury - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Fire
WNBA
30.08.26	Portland Fire - Golden State Valkyries	69:86 ✺
28.08.26	Atlanta Dream - Portland Fire	83:101 ✺
25.08.26	Dallas Wings - Portland Fire	96:78 ✺
23.08.26	Portland Fire - Washington Mystics	100:105 ✺
21.08.26	Toronto Tempo - Portland Fire	82:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLL
- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
29.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Toronto Tempo	101:69 ✺
27.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics	73:80 ✺
25.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics	84:94 ✺
22.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Atlanta Dream	89:99 ✺
16.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire	85:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
16.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire	85:88
05.06.26	Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury	72:78

Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide