Match Info

WNBA

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Phoenix Mercury		Minnesota Lynx

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.23	1.71
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Mercury
43.2%

Minnesota Lynx
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Minnesota Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Lynx than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Lynx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	0%	59.1%

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Minnesota will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brochant N.	12. Coffey N.
2. Copper K.	1. Howard N.
4. Mack N.	21. McBride K.
8. Makani M.	5. Miles O.
25. Thomas A.	10. Williams C.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.	. Reeve C.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.

Phoenix is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Minnesota is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1544:1676. (average 77.2:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 804:812. (average 80.4:81.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
29.05.26	New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury	75:68 ✺
27.05.26	New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury	84:74 ✺
24.05.26	Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury	82:80 ✺
21.05.26	Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks	88:97 ✺
19.05.26	Phoenix Mercury - Toronto Tempo	90:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Minnesota Lynx
WNBA
29.05.26	Chicago Sky - Minnesota Lynx	58:79 ✺
27.05.26	Minnesota Lynx - Atlanta Dream	96:81 ✺
23.05.26	Chicago Sky - Minnesota Lynx	75:85 ✺
21.05.26	Minnesota Lynx - Toronto Tempo	100:72 ✺
17.05.26	Minnesota Lynx - Chicago Sky	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
12.05.26	Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx	84:88
28.09.25	Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx	86:81
26.09.25	Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx	84:76
23.09.25	Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury	83:89 OT
21.09.25	Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury	82:69
16.07.25	Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury	79:66
09.07.25	Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx	79:71

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide