Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 6

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tauron Arena (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	18:00	DAZN
Finland	19:00	DAZN
Poland	18:00	TVP Sport
Sweden	18:00	DAZN


	Poland		Netherlands

	1	2
	1.11	6	Watch
	1.15	5.00
	1.08	5.8	Watch
	1.05	7.27
	1.11	5.79	Watch
	1.03	7.15
	1.16	4.88
	1.11	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.2)	6.01 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
84.5%

Netherlands
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

75.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Netherlands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Poland - Netherlands Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Netherlands will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja	16. Koehler T. Den Bosch
0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa	99. Kuta N. Orleans
9. Ponitka M. Bahcesehir Koleji	1. Van Der Vuurst K. Buyukcekmece
3. Sokolowski M. Karsiyaka Basket	7. Ververs M. Limburg
13. Szumert J. Zielona Gora	32. Zuidema K. Donar Groningen
Substitutes
10. Kolenda L. Rostock	6. Hollanders S. Alicante
15. Laczynski K. Arka Gdynia	38. Huurman S. Leiden
23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek	22. Kruithof L. Leiden
17. Olejniczak D. Derthona Tortona	33. Pikaar M.
7. Urbaniak J. Slask Wroclaw	10. Ugbo E.
28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	8. Van Overbeek R. BAL Weert
1. Zyskowski J. Arka Gdynia	5. Williams L. Zwolle (Landstede Hammers)
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Roijakkers J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 5.

Netherlands may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Poland is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 509:441. (average 84.8:73.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Austria - Poland	77:123 ✺
01.03.26	Poland - Latvia	92:72 ✺
27.02.26	Latvia - Poland	82:84 ✺
01.12.25	Netherlands - Poland	83:85 ✺
28.11.25	Poland - Austria	90:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Netherlands basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Netherlands - Latvia	69:72 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
23.06.26	China - Netherlands	65:60 ✺
22.06.26	Australia - Netherlands	78:69 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Netherlands - Austria	87:88 ✺
27.02.26	Austria - Netherlands	71:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Netherlands - Poland	83:85
EuroBasket
06.09.22	Netherlands - Poland	69:75
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.19	Poland - Netherlands	77:71
World Championship Basketball
25.02.19	Poland - Netherlands	85:76
29.11.18	Netherlands - Poland	78:105
Friendly International Basketball
06.08.16	Poland - Netherlands	82:64

Poland - Netherlands