Match Info

1. Liga - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warszawa		Noteć Inowrocław

	1	2
	1.62	2.10
	1.7	1.96
	1.76	1.99
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.68	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warszawa
53.6%

Noteć Inowrocław
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Polonia Warszawa - Noteć Inowrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gaines C.	3. Kobel J.
10. Gilinski G. (C)	99. Koprivica M.
22. Klaczek L.	7. Kroczak M.
11. Ross J.	6. Sobiech S.
17. Wrona P.	9. Trubacz R.
Substitutes
12. Borowski S.	10. Babis K.
32. Duda M.	24. Bialachowski K.
2. Jagiello W.	34. Harris D. (C)
88. Poradzki F.	13. Lis P.
30. Truszczynski P.	31. Skiba A.
15. Trzybinski B.	1. Szymanski T.
	11. Vaulet S.
Coaches
. Dziergowski L.	. Szubarga K.

Preview

Inowrocław could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Polonia Warszawa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 311:325 (averaging 77.8:81.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Polonia Warszawa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 152:169 goals (averaging 76:84.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	285:278	6
9	Inowroclaw	3	2	1	242:218	5

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Warszawa - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
26.09.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	98:100 OT ✺
21.09.26	Polonia Warszawa - Sokol Lancut	95:93 ✺
15.04.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	74:72 ✺
11.04.26	Polonia Warszawa - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	71:89 ✺
02.04.26	Żubry Białystok - Polonia Warszawa	90:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- KSK Noteć Inowrocław
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
26.09.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Resovia Rzeszów	75:62 ✺
18.09.26	WKK Wrocław - Noteć Inowrocław	66:80 ✺
15.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Inowrocław	81:67 ✺
08.04.26	WKK Wrocław - Noteć Inowrocław	79:68 ✺
28.03.26	Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław	70:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
22.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	79:67
29.11.25	Polonia Warszawa - Noteć Inowrocław	79:88
22.03.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	77:92
15.12.24	Polonia Warszawa - Noteć Inowrocław	73:81

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