Match Info

WNBA

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Moda Center (Portland, OR)


	Portland Fire		Connecticut Sun

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.15
	1.38	3.2
	1.49	2.41	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Fire
68.8%

Connecticut Sun
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Fire's performance.

Connecticut Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connecticut Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Fire than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Fire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connecticut Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Connecticut will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Carleton B.	8. Edwards A.
21. Engstler E.	4. Leger-Walker C.
15. Geiselsoder L.	1. Miller D.
0. Leite C.	24. Morrow A.
13. Puoch N.	22. Rivers S.
Coaches
. Sarama A.	. Meziane R.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Recent performances by Portland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Connecticut is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Connecticut has had a series of away games.

Portland might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Portland will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:82.

Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Fire
WNBA
25.05.26	New York Liberty - Portland Fire	74:81 ✺
23.05.26	Toronto Tempo - Portland Fire	80:99 ✺
20.05.26	Indiana Fever - Portland Fire	90:73 ✺
18.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	83:82 ✺
14.05.26	Portland Fire - New York Liberty	82:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLWL
- Connecticut Sun
WNBA
25.05.26	Golden State Valkyries - Connecticut Sun	97:70 ✺
22.05.26	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	77:59 ✺
20.05.26	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	78:80 ✺
18.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	83:82 ✺
15.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Las Vegas Aces	94:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
18.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	83:82

Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide