Match Info

WNBA

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)


	Seattle Storm		Connecticut Sun

	1	2
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.8	2.05
	1.85	1.92
	1.88	2.01
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.84	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.61)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Storm
51.8%

Connecticut Sun
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Storm's form might have worsened.

Connecticut Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connecticut Sun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Storm than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Connecticut will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Horston J.	1. Miller D.
4. Johnson F.	8. Edwards A.
31. Dolson S.	25. Burke K.
2. Hiedeman N.	4. Leger-Walker C.
5. Melbourne J.	5. Kneepkens G.
Coaches
. Raman S.	. Meziane R.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Connecticut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1649:1567. (average 82.5:78.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 808:749. (average 80.8:74.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Storm
WNBA
20.05.26	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	78:80 ✺
17.05.26	Indiana Fever - Seattle Storm	89:78 ✺
13.05.26	Toronto Tempo - Seattle Storm	86:73 ✺
10.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm	82:89 ✺
08.05.26	Seattle Storm - Golden State Valkyries	80:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Connecticut Sun
WNBA
20.05.26	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	78:80 ✺
18.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	83:82 ✺
15.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Las Vegas Aces	94:101 ✺
13.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Las Vegas Aces	69:98 ✺
10.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
20.05.26	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	78:80
10.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm	82:89
28.07.25	Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm	85:101
11.07.25	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	79:65
09.07.25	Connecticut Sun - Seattle Storm	93:83
27.06.25	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	97:81
04.05.25	Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun	79:59

Seattle Storm - Connecticut Sun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide