Match Info

WNBA

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Peru	ESPN 5, Fox Sports


	Phoenix Mercury		Portland Fire

	1	2
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.70
	1.48	2.6
	1.51	2.68
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.49	2.69
	1.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Mercury
64.5%

Portland Fire
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Portland Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Fire than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bonner D.	6. Carleton B.
1. Brochant N.	17. DiLeo M.
2. Copper K.	21. Engstler E.
25. Thomas A.	0. Leite C.
33. Whitcomb S.	13. Puoch N.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.	. Sarama A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Phoenix has had a series of away games.

Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.

Phoenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
11.08.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	87:94 ✺
09.08.26	Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury	95:75 ✺
07.08.26	Connecticut Sun - Phoenix Mercury	75:72 ✺
05.08.26	Atlanta Dream - Phoenix Mercury	96:82 ✺
03.08.26	Chicago Sky - Phoenix Mercury	101:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- Portland Fire
WNBA
14.08.26	Seattle Storm - Portland Fire	82:84 ✺
12.08.26	Portland Fire - Minnesota Lynx	81:85 ✺
08.08.26	Portland Fire - Seattle Storm	100:93 ✺
06.08.26	Portland Fire - Toronto Tempo	97:83 ✺
02.08.26	Portland Fire - Los Angeles Sparks	101:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
05.06.26	Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury	72:78

Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide