The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Phoenix Mercury 34.4%
Washington Mystics 65.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Mercury's form might have worsened.
Washington Mystics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Mystics's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Mystics than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Mystics, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 176.5, OT - over (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -8.5, OT - Washington (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Washington Mystics will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:86
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Thomas A.
44. Iriafen K.
4. Mack N.
12. Onyenwere M.
1. Brochant N.
0. Austin S.
33. Whitcomb S.
8. Amoore G.
2. Copper K.
22. Citron S.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.
. Johnson S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.
Recent form of Phoenix has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Washington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1631:1618. (average 81.6:80.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 816:793. (average 81.6:79.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Phoenix Mercury - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Washington Mystics - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Thomas A. 
Mack N. 
Brochant N. 
Whitcomb S. 
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