Match Info

NBA

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	ESPN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Miami Heat		Boston Celtics

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.68	1.53
	2.6	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.71	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.54)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 230.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Heat
36.6%

Boston Celtics
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Boston Celtics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Celtics than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Miami Heat - Boston Celtics Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Boston will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Miami (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 113:118

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Larsson P.	30. Hauser S.
22. Wiggins A.	0. Tatum J.
13. Adebayo B.	88. Queta N.
14. Herro T.	7. Brown J.
45. Mitchell D.	9. White D.
Substitutes
0. Fontecchio S.	99. Bassey C.
15. Gardner M.	52. Garza L.
50. Goldin V.	28. Gonzalez H.
25. Jakucionis K.	13. Harper R.
11. Jaquez Jr. J.	11. Pritchard P.
16. Johnson K.	55. Scheierman B.
5. Jovic N.	44. Shulga M.
3. Keels T.	8. Tonje J.
12. Smith D.	27. Walsh J.
7. Ware K.	77. Williams A.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.	. Mazzulla J.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Boston is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boston could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Miami: Powell N. (Back Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Boston: Harper R. (Ankle Injury) Tatum J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vucevic N. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Boston: Queta N. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2027:2160. (average 101.4:108).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 881:984. (average 97.9:109.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Celtics - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 62.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Heat
NBA
30.03.26	Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers	119:109 ✺
29.03.26	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	135:118 ✺
27.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	149:128 ✺
25.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	103:120 ✺
23.03.26	Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs	111:136 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL
- Boston Celtics
NBA
30.03.26	Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics	112:102 ✺
29.03.26	Charlotte Hornets - Boston Celtics	99:114 ✺
27.03.26	Boston Celtics - Atlanta Hawks	109:102 ✺
25.03.26	Boston Celtics - Oklahoma City Thunder	119:109 ✺
22.03.26	Boston Celtics - Minnesota Timberwolves	92:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
06.02.26	Boston Celtics - Miami Heat	98:96
15.01.26	Miami Heat - Boston Celtics	114:119
19.12.25	Boston Celtics - Miami Heat	129:116
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
14.07.25	Miami Heat - Boston Celtics	100:96
NBA
02.04.25	Boston Celtics - Miami Heat	103:124
14.03.25	Miami Heat - Boston Celtics	91:103
10.02.25	Miami Heat - Boston Celtics	85:103

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