Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Winners stage

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)

Referee: Maciulis G. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo


	Promitheas Patras		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.12	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.65
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
43.2%

Derthona Basket Tortona
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Promitheas Patras's performance.

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona Basket Tortona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Promitheas Patras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Promitheas Patras - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Promitheas will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Tortona will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Promitheas: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Lountzis M.	4. Gorham J.
13. Reese I.	2. Kuhse T.
11. Shittu S.	1. Vital C.
23. Varnado J.	34. Weems K. (C)
10. Williams K.	0. Zerini A.
Substitutes
7. Bazinas N.	13. Baldasso T.
25. Iwundu W.	19. Biligha P.
12. Lagios A.	7. Candi L.
9. Papagiannis M.	11. Denegri D.
17. Prekas G.	23. Josovic A.
1. Walker J.	14. Kamagate I.
33. Williams K.	20. Severini L.
Coaches
. Papatheodorou I.	. De Raffaele W.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Promitheas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tortona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Promitheas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77:97

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
08.03.25	Promitheas Patras - PAOK	87:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Promitheas Patras	97:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.03.25	Kolossos Rodou - Promitheas Patras	89:85 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
14.02.25	Promitheas Patras - Panathinaikos	73:91 ✺
12.02.25	Promitheas Patras - Megaridas	86:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	89:82 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Promitheas Patras	97:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.03.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:89 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
12.02.25	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:79 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.02.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	66:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Promitheas Patras	97:77

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