Match Info

ACB - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Palau Blaugrana (Barcelona)

Referee: Garcia Gonzalez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Barcelona		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.79	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.91
	1.88	1.88
	2.01	1.83
	1.94	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.97	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.76)	1.86 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barcelona
49.4%

Real Madrid
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Barcelona - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Clyburn W.	6. Abalde A.
44. Parra J.	7. Campazzo F.
0. Punter K.	14. Deck G.
13. Satoransky T.	11. Hezonja M.
6. Vesely J.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
8. Brizuela D.	24. Feliz A.
3. Cale M.	16. Garuba U.
19. Fall Y.	25. Len A.
14. Hernangomez W.	23. Llull S.
43. Kusturica N.	0. Lyles T.
2. Marcos J.	12. Maledon T.
23. Shengelia T.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Pascual X.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.

Barcelona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1702:1772. (average 85.1:88.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 794:804. (average 88.2:89.3).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.18% Barcelona: 11.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	213:201	2

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
19.03.26	Valencia - Barcelona	62:66 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.03.26	Joventut Badalona - Barcelona	84:72 ✺
Euroleague
13.03.26	Barcelona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	75:80 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	CB Breogán - Barcelona	78:109 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Barcelona	87:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL
- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
20.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Real Madrid	87:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.03.26	Real Madrid - Força Lleida CE	95:78 ✺
Euroleague
12.03.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	96:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	80:82 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
16.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	80:61
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	100:105
Euroleague
07.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	92:101
Spanish ACB League
06.04.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	89:91
Euroleague
27.02.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	96:91
Spanish ACB League
29.12.24	Real Madrid - Barcelona	73:71
Euroleague
28.11.24	Barcelona - Real Madrid	90:97 OT

Upcoming Matches