Match Info

Serie A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Palasport Flaminio (Rimini)


	Rimini		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	1.36	2.9
	1.4	2.55
	1.31	3.39
	1.38	2.79	Watch
	1.3	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	2.97 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
68.7%

Basket Pesaro
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rimini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rimini - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Alipiev I.	45. Aromando S.
29. Camara G.	21. Bucarelli L.
11. Denegri D.	7. Maretto O.
00. Leardini G.	22. Miniotas R.
13. Marini P.	15. Tambone M.
Substitutes
20. Georgescu V.	5. Bertini A.
18. Pollone L.	13. De Laurentiis Q.
0. Porter Z.	25. Fainke E.
1. Saccoccia S.	2. Johnson J.
12. Sankare A.	1. Trucchetti S.
27. Simioni A.	18. Virginio N.
7. Tomassini G.
Coaches
. Dell'Agnello S.	. Leka S.

Preview

Rimini leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rimini could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rimini will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 616:565. (average 88:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rimini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 278:221. (average 92.7:73.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Pesaro	2	2	0	183:165	4
8	Rimini	2	1	1	156:132	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinascita Basket Rimini
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
14.05.26	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	93:75 ✺
11.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	94:79 ✺
09.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	89:99 ✺
03.05.26	Rimini - Libertas Livorno	95:90 ✺
26.04.26	Rimini - Scafati	76:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
14.05.26	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	93:75 ✺
11.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	94:79 ✺
09.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	89:99 ✺
26.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Basket Pesaro	84:75 ✺
19.04.26	Basket Pesaro - Forlì	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
14.05.26	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	93:75
11.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	94:79
09.05.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	89:99
22.02.26	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	85:78
26.10.25	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	86:65
21.03.25	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	99:81
10.11.24	Basket Pesaro - Rimini	76:82

Rimini - Basket Pesaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide