Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Active Vilnius Arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.79
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	1.87	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
49.8%

Mažeikiai
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Balkandzhiev K.	13. Karasov P.
8. Jokubauskas G.	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
5. Liutkevicius M. (C)	14. Narusevicius E.
19. Stuknys N.	3. Neal N.
27. Vilkas A.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
34. Adomaitis V.	5. Marquett Epps D.
2. Pocius A.	12. Motuzas M.
23. Sirgedas E.	31. Rimsa T.
9. Snitka K.	8. Rubinas D.
10. Vilutis A.	7. Stropus J.
45. Zukauskas D.
Coaches
. Kadziulis G.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Rytas 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 314:308. (average 78.5:77).

Including home matches between the teams, Rytas 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 167:146. (average 83.5:73).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1
16	Rytas 2	3	0	3	240:265	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
28.02.26	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	94:87 ✺
26.02.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	87:74 ✺
19.02.26	Sūduva - Rytas 2	95:66 ✺
07.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	62:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
05.03.26	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	74:86 ✺
28.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	91:67 ✺
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
19.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	102:74 ✺
07.02.26	Mažeikiai - Šilutė	102:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
22.01.26	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	78:84
06.11.25	Mažeikiai - Rytas 2	87:81
05.01.23	Mažeikiai - Rytas 2	75:66
03.11.22	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	89:62

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