Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Marijampoles zaidimu sporto mokyklos sale (Marijampole)


	Sūduva		Mažeikiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4
	1.15	4.44
	1.17	4.25
	1.18	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.06)	4.12 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva
77.9%

Mažeikiai
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sūduva's form might have worsened.

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mažeikiai's recent form is better than expected.

Sūduva - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Jaskus E.	1. Mokseckas G.
25. Jucikas M.	12. Motuzas M. (C)
14. Sederevicius E.	14. Narusevicius E.
0. Simonis Z.	9. Neal N.
88. Vilys D.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
8. Grigas J.	13. Karasov P.
22. Kliucinykas T. (C)	5. Marquett Epps D.
7. Labutis I.	31. Rimsa T.
17. Majauskas A.	8. Rubinas D.
4. Zigmantavicius M.	7. Stropus J.
Coaches
. Usas M.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 3.

Sūduva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mažeikiai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sūduva is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1781:1421. (average 89.1:71.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1053:779. (average 95.7:70.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Suduva-Mantinga	1	1	0	87:80	1
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Sūduva
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Sūduva - Kėdainiai	96:63 ✺
05.03.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Sūduva	78:76 ✺
26.02.26	Sūduva - Vytis Šakiai	98:91 ✺
21.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	83:81 ✺
19.02.26	Sūduva - Rytas 2	95:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Rytas 2 - Mažeikiai	94:90 ✺
05.03.26	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	74:86 ✺
28.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	91:67 ✺
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
19.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	102:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
06.12.25	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	94:71
13.11.25	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	90:91
21.04.23	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	83:92
09.03.23	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	89:74
11.02.23	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	71:67
07.12.22	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	61:78
27.10.22	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	86:52

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