Match Info

NBA

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Sacramento Kings		Toronto Raptors

	1	2
	2.7	1.49	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.89	1.46	Watch
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.85	1.5
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 226.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Kings
35.2%

Toronto Raptors
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Toronto Raptors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Kings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Raptors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Sacramento Kings - Toronto Raptors Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Sacramento (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 223.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, 1st Half - Sacramento (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Sacramento (2.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sacramento Kings will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 17 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 110:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. DeRozan D.	3. Ingram B.
9. Achiuwa P.	4. Barnes S.
42. Raynaud M.	54. Mamukelashvili S.
8. LaVine Z.	23. Shead J.
18. Westbrook R.	5. Quickley I.
Substitutes
32. Cardwell D.	30. Agbaji O.
22. Carter D.	77. Battle J.
5. Clifford N.	1. Dick G.
23. Ellis K.	0. Lawson A.
19. Eubanks D.	55. Martin A.
7. McDermott D.	2. Mogbo J.
0. Monk M.	17. Temple G.
20. Saric D.
17. Schroder D.
Coaches
. Christie D.	. Rajakovic D.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Sacramento has had a series of home games.

In this match, Toronto is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sacramento: Murray K. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Barrett R. (Ankle Injury) Murray-Boyles C. (Contusion) Poeltl J. (Lower Back Injury) Walter J. (Hip Injury)

We predict that Sacramento will win today's game, with odds of 2.9.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2208:2308. (average 110.4:115.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1093:1165. (average 109.3:116.5).

Outrights of NBA for now

Toronto Raptors: 3.16% Sacramento Kings: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Kings - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Kings
NBA
20.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat	117:130 ✺
18.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Portland Trail Blazers	110:117 ✺
16.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Washington Wizards	128:115 ✺
14.01.26	Sacramento Kings - New York Knicks	112:101 ✺
12.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Los Angeles Lakers	124:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LLWWW
- Toronto Raptors
NBA
20.01.26	Golden State Warriors - Toronto Raptors	127:145 ✺
18.01.26	Los Angeles Lakers - Toronto Raptors	110:93 ✺
16.01.26	Toronto Raptors - Los Angeles Clippers	117:121 OT ✺
14.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Toronto Raptors	101:115 ✺
12.01.26	Toronto Raptors - Philadelphia 76ers	102:115 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
08.10.25	Sacramento Kings - Toronto Raptors	122:130
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
19.07.25	Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings	88:98
NBA
06.11.24	Sacramento Kings - Toronto Raptors	122:107
02.11.24	Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings	131:128 OT
20.03.24	Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings	89:123
05.01.24	Sacramento Kings - Toronto Raptors	135:130
08.10.23	Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings	112:99

Sacramento Kings - Toronto Raptors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide