The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Pablo Burgos 45.8%
Canarias 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
61.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Pablo Burgos's performance.
Canarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canarias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.4%
0%
17.6%
San Pablo Burgos - Canarias Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Canarias will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for SP Burgos: 64.3% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Pablo Burgos will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:88
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Meindl L.
11. Scrubb T.
00. Samuels J.
42. Doornekamp A.
27. Happ E.
35. Guerra F.
10. Corbalan G.
4. Van Beck W.
6. Gudmundsson J.
6. Fitipaldo B.
Substitutes
8. Almazan P.
21. Abromaitis T.
40. Fischer L.
33. Alderete H.
56. Jackson J.
16. Bordon D.
32. Lima
3. Fernandez J.
19. Neto R.
31. Giedraitis R.
3. Nzosa Y.
15. Sastre J.
7. Rubio J.
19. Shermadini G.
Coaches
. Fisac P.
. Vidorreta T.
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 0.
SP Burgos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Canarias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
SP Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Canarias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1240:1359. (average 77.5:84.9).
Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 526:569. (average 75.1:81.3).
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Meindl L. 
Scrubb T. 
Samuels J. 
Happ E. 
Guerra F. 
Corbalan G. 
Van Beck W. 
Gudmundsson J. 
Fitipaldo B. 
Fischer L. 
Jackson J. 
Giedraitis R. 
Nzosa Y. 
Shermadini G. 
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