Match Info

ACB - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Referee: Chueca A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	San Pablo Burgos		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.91	1.43	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.6)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
32.9%

Joventut Badalona
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Pablo Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joventut Badalona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

San Pablo Burgos - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Joventut will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SP Burgos: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Pablo Burgos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Corbalan G.	21. Allen M.
40. Fischer L.	35. Birgander S.
23. Meindl L.	17. Dekker S.
19. Neto R.	24. Hunt C.
00. Samuels J.	9. Rubio R.
Substitutes
8. Almazan P.	0. Drell H.
6. Gudmundsson J.	88. Hanga A.
27. Happ E.	1. Kraag Y.
56. Jackson J.	23. Ruzic M.
3. Nzosa Y.	44. Tomic A.
5. Rodriguez R.	16. Vives G.
7. Rubio J.
Coaches
. Fisac P.	. Miret D.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Joventut is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 829:810. (average 82.9:81).

Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 414:410. (average 82.8:82).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	San Pablo Burgos	2	1	1	191:179	2
16	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	104:110	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
03.01.26	Granada - San Pablo Burgos	90:107 ✺
30.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - Gran Canaria 2014	94:81 ✺
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77 ✺
20.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basquet Manresa	100:102 OT ✺
13.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	99:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
03.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	78:67 ✺
30.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - Joventut Badalona	105:83 ✺
27.12.25	Joventut Badalona - CB Breogán	83:75 ✺
21.12.25	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	90:80 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Cholet Basket - Joventut Badalona	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
14.04.22	San Pablo Burgos - Joventut Badalona	92:76
30.10.21	Joventut Badalona - San Pablo Burgos	82:65
16.04.21	San Pablo Burgos - Joventut Badalona	86:78
27.12.20	Joventut Badalona - San Pablo Burgos	75:95
18.01.20	San Pablo Burgos - Joventut Badalona	92:89
05.10.19	Joventut Badalona - San Pablo Burgos	74:82
14.04.19	Joventut Badalona - San Pablo Burgos	88:85

Upcoming Matches