Match Info

ACB - Round 31

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Referee: Mohedas R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	San Pablo Burgos		Unicaja Malaga

	1	2
	2.35	1.51	Watch
	2.3	1.58	Watch
	2.28	1.63
	1.63	2.20	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.42	1.59	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.37)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
42.5%

Unicaja Malaga
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

San Pablo Burgos - Unicaja Malaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Unicaja will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 178.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fischer L.	7. Barreiro J.
6. Gudmundsson J.	9. Diaz A.
23. Meindl L.	4. Kalinoski T.
19. Neto R.	45. Kravish D.
00. Samuels J.	33. Tillie K.
Substitutes
8. Almazan P.	1. Audige C.
10. Corbalan G.	2. Balcerowski A.
11. Diez D.	11. Cobbs J.
22. Happ E.	55. Perry K.
33. Heidegger M.	21. Rubit A.
3. Nzosa Y.	22. Trujillo M.
7. Rubio J.	3. Webb J. III
Coaches
. Fisac P.	. Navarro I.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Unicaja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Unicaja has had a series of home games.

Unicaja will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 932:932. (average 84.7:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 520:467. (average 86.7:77.8).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Unicaja: 3.09% San Pablo Burgos: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	San Pablo Burgos	2	1	1	191:179	2
10	Unicaja	3	1	2	254:253	2

Last Results with these Odds

Unicaja Malaga - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.93%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
09.05.26	Barcelona - San Pablo Burgos	91:76 ✺
02.05.26	San Pablo Burgos - Força Lleida CE	99:91 ✺
26.04.26	Basquet Manresa - San Pablo Burgos	94:101 ✺
19.04.26	San Pablo Burgos - CB Breogán	94:99 ✺
12.04.26	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	78:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- Unicaja Málaga
Champions League Basketball
09.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - Canarias	85:80 ✺
07.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens	65:78 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Gran Canaria 2014	100:101 OT ✺
25.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Força Lleida CE	91:72 ✺
19.04.26	Granada - Unicaja Malaga	83:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
13.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	99:91
08.05.22	San Pablo Burgos - Unicaja Malaga	89:74
13.11.21	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	89:78
27.03.21	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	93:101
03.01.21	San Pablo Burgos - Unicaja Malaga	95:83 OT (79:79)
30.11.19	San Pablo Burgos - Unicaja Malaga	77:60
28.04.19	Unicaja Malaga - San Pablo Burgos	91:70

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