Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	RTL
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, RTL
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5, Sport TV1
Sweden	SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Germany		Slovenia

	1	2
	1.14	6	Watch
	1.1	7
	1.13	6.25	Watch
	1.17	5.39
	1.14	5.16	Watch
	1.13	6.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.09)	6.09 ↓ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
84.3%

Slovenia
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Germany - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). Slovenia will win (votes: 47 - 83.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovenia: 74.3% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +12, OT - Slovenia (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -11.5, OT - Germany (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 177 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 185.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Slovenia (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5, 1Q - Germany (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9.5, 1st Half - Germany (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +15.5 - Slovenia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Slovenia will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Slovenia (votes: 29 - 82.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Bonga I. Partizan	77. Doncic L. (C) Los Angeles Lakers
42. Obst A. Bayern	15. Hrovat G.
17. Schroder D. (C) Detroit Pistons	2. Krampelj M. Yalovaspor BK
10. Theis D. AS Monaco	8. Muric E. Forca Lleida
9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic	6. Nikolic A. Cedevita Olimpija
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O. Bayern	13. Jurkovic R. Krka
5. da Silva T. Orlando Magic	24. Omic A. Buducnost
21. Hollatz J. Bayern	7. Prepelic K. Dubai
34. Kratzer L. Paris	12. Radovic R. Cedevita Olimpija
4. Lo M. Paris	23. Scuka L. Braunschweig
32. Thiemann J. Gunma	37. Stergar L. Kortrijk
Coaches
. Mumbru A.	. Sekulic A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 3.

Germany has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Slovenia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Slovenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Germany is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Germany won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 598:564. (average 85.4:80.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany basketball
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Germany - Portugal	85:58 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Germany - Great Britain	120:57 ✺
30.08.25	Lithuania - Germany	88:107 ✺
29.08.25	Germany - Sweden	105:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Slovenia basketball
EuroBasket
07.09.25	Italy - Slovenia	77:84 ✺
04.09.25	Israel - Slovenia	96:106 ✺
02.09.25	Iceland - Slovenia	79:87 ✺
31.08.25	Slovenia - Belgium	86:69 ✺
30.08.25	France - Slovenia	103:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
10.08.25	Germany - Slovenia	80:70
08.08.25	Slovenia - Germany	89:103
World Championship Basketball
03.09.23	Germany - Slovenia	100:71
14.11.22	Slovenia - Germany	81:75
EuroBasket
06.09.22	Germany - Slovenia	80:88
World Championship Basketball
28.08.22	Germany - Slovenia	90:71
Olympic Games - Basketball
02.08.21	Slovenia - Germany	94:70

Germany - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide