Match Info

POLAND: Basket Liga - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Hala Miejska (Stargard)

Referee: Wawrzynski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.65	1.39	Watch
	2.86	1.42
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.37
	2.65	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.23)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
33.3%

Legia Warsaw
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński's form might have worsened.

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spójnia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Martinez J.	23. Kolenda M. (C)
31. Borowski K.	15. Silins O.
25. Gordon W.	10. Vucic M.
7. Kowalczyk S.	0. McGusty K.
5. Johnson M.	28. Sykes K.
Substitutes
13. Bryla M.	25. Grudzinski D.
3. Hensler M.	35. Onu E.
86. Kikowski P. (C)	3. Pluta A.
11. Langovic A.	12. Radanov A.
16. Slupinski D.	32. Wilczek M.
77. Wojdak J.
32. Yehonatan Y.
Coaches
. Urlep A.	. Rannula H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spójnia won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Spójnia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1484:1615 (average 78.1:85).

Including matches at home between the teams Spójnia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 710:768 (average 78.9:85.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Basket Liga
07.03.25	Toruń - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	88:89 ✺
01.03.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Anwil Włocławek	68:83 ✺
08.02.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	75:89 ✺
01.02.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Trefl Sopot	69:77 ✺
26.01.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Czarni Słupsk	83:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLL
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
09.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Czarni Słupsk	56:70 ✺
ENBL
05.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Voluntari	81:95 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
01.03.25	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	70:72 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
13.02.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Legia Warsaw	73:72 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
09.02.25	Legia Warsaw - Zielona Góra	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
10.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	88:84 OT
28.01.24	Legia Warsaw - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	89:78
14.10.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Legia Warsaw	81:87
11.05.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Legia Warsaw	82:93
08.05.23	Legia Warsaw - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	91:78
06.05.23	Legia Warsaw - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	84:77
27.01.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Legia Warsaw	97:80

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