Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Island Federal Credit Union Arena (New York, NY)


	Stony Brook Seawolves		Hampton Pirates

	1	2
	1.37	3
	1.37	2.9
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.41	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stony Brook Seawolves
67.2%

Hampton Pirates
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stony Brook Seawolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stony Brook Seawolves's performance.

Hampton Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hampton Pirates might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stony Brook Seawolves than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stony Brook Seawolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton Pirates than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hampton Pirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stony Brook Seawolves - Hampton Pirates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:65

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stony Brook is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stony Brook will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stony Brook won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 272:282. (average 68:70.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stony Brook won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:73.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stony Brook Seawolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons	72:69 ✺
12.02.26	Towson Tigers - Stony Brook Seawolves	69:57 ✺
07.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Northeastern Huskies	69:55 ✺
05.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	75:76 ✺
31.01.26	Elon University Phoenix - Stony Brook Seawolves	68:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW
- Hampton Pirates basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	Hofstra Pride - Hampton Pirates	79:43 ✺
13.02.26	North Carolina A&T Aggies - Hampton Pirates	71:70 ✺
07.02.26	Hampton Pirates - William & Mary Tribe	77:74 ✺
05.02.26	Hampton Pirates - Elon University Phoenix	87:79 OT ✺
31.01.26	Towson Tigers - Hampton Pirates	82:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
29.12.25	Hampton Pirates - Stony Brook Seawolves	62:59
24.02.25	Hampton Pirates - Stony Brook Seawolves	81:49
15.02.24	Stony Brook Seawolves - Hampton Pirates	93:73
28.01.23	Hampton Pirates - Stony Brook Seawolves	66:71

Stony Brook Seawolves - Hampton Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide